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Tom Yates: Is stoicism an important and neglected confounder?

24 Nov, 11 | by BMJ Group

‘Most doctors and nurses will have a deep well of patient stories – examples of great fortitude and its converse. It is clear to any clinician that some patients either feel their symptoms (or report them) more than others.

 This is well recognised in parts of the medical literature with, for example, the distinction made between irritable bowel syndrome patients and ‘non-patients’ – people with the same symptoms as those who seek care but who never present to services. 

I wonder, however, whether stoicism has been neglected in the epidemiological literature. It seems likely to be related to many exposures and many diseases. Association with exposure and with disease are two of the key features of a confounding variable.

Stoicism is particularly likely to be associated with diseases where diagnosis relies on self-reported symptoms. Many diseases fall into this category.

I feel stoicism is likely to be related to exposures such as cycling to work every day, ambient household temperature, and so on. However, it’s not hard to imagine that many health behaviours might be influenced by how stoical people are.

Confounding is well illustrated using a classic example, coffee and cancer. People who drink coffee are more likely to get cancer. They are also more likely to be smokers. The well-established association between smoking and cancer largely explains the association between coffee and cancer. Smoking, in this example, is a confounder.

Epidemiologists try to control for confounders to avoid misleading results.

A Pubmed search for ‘stoic*’ AND ‘confound*‘reveals 24 papers, only three of which are even vaguely relevant. None are epidemiological and I can access only one. By failing to control for stoicism in epidemiological studies, do we risk throwing up reams of spurious associations – warmer home environment is associated with fatigue, winter cycling is associated with less chronic low back pain, etc? Will this lead us to spend money trialling useless interventions?

In some cases it may be possible to adjust – person by person – for reported symptoms at another time point. However, to control for confounders, you usually need to be able to measure them.

It is entertaining to think how one might measure stoicism. For example: ‘When you last had a sore throat, did you (a) get on with it (b) have a day off work or (c) go to see your GP?’ We might apply more objective tests – time to first complaint when the waiting room is kept at ten degrees, perhaps? We could devise a scale.

Tom Yates qualified as a doctor in London in 2009. He subsequently completed an academic foundation programme in Oxford, where he was involved in research on hepatitis vaccines. He started an MSc in epidemiology at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine in September 2011. He is interested in infectious disease and population health. He blogs on epidemiology and population health at sickpopulations.wordpress.com

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  • http://www.stresswinner.com Dave Rainhamr

    This is a brilliant idea. GPs are loaded with patients complaining of 'stress' and 'depression' either directly or indirectly, and chronic pain is a pain to all of us. A stoicism index would be a really useful piece of the clinical puzzle, just like weight or BP.  I'll start on it tonight. We will test it in our practice – it should be part of the patient profile!!

  • Paddy

    No doubt that this would be a confounder for a number of conditions.  I wonder whether any of the more general studies on health-seeking behaviour may have addressed this to some extent.

    Given the importance of early diagnosis in some conditions (e.g. many cancers), and the problems with overdiagnosis in some conditions (e.g. many cancers), it would be interesting to try and compare cancer diagnosis, cancer survival rates and overall survival rates among people with varying degrees of inclination to attend health services for minor ailments.  Start at an age where such behaviours may already be well-established and the cancer risk relatively high (e.g. 60 or 70), and see what follows over the course of a 20-year cohort study, perhaps.

  • automaticdoor

    If nothing else, I’ve learned that being poor and thus having a cold house and cycling everywhere has an upside!

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