{"id":1871,"date":"2026-09-29T23:17:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T23:17:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/tc\/?p=1871"},"modified":"2026-09-29T23:17:05","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T23:17:05","slug":"how-smoking-makes-australians-poorer-and-what-we-can-do-about-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/tc\/2026\/09\/29\/how-smoking-makes-australians-poorer-and-what-we-can-do-about-it\/","title":{"rendered":"How smoking makes Australians poorer \u2013 and what we can do about\u00a0it"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Australia&#8217;s illicit tobacco market has grown rapidly in recent years, prompting some commentators and political parties to advocate for drastic cuts to tobacco tax. In this article originally published in <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-smoking-makes-australians-poorer-and-what-we-can-do-about-it-290345\">The Conversation<\/a>, Professor Coral Gartner and Dr Ara Cho from the University of Queensland lay out what is needed to support people who experience smoking-induced poverty.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"theconversation-article-body\">\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/761397\/original\/file-20260922-50-lsuul9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.1&amp;rect=0%2C293%2C5616%2C3159&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"A close up of a hand holding a smoking cigarette\" \/><figcaption><span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">Mauro Scarone\/Getty Images<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/coral-gartner-7425\">Coral Gartner<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/the-university-of-queensland-805\">The University of Queensland<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/ara-cho-1354798\">Ara Cho<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/the-university-of-queensland-805\">The University of Queensland<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Australia has some of the world\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tobaccoinaustralia.org.au\/chapter-13-taxation\/13-9-tobacco-prices-affordability-taxes-and-tax-revenue-in-australia-compare-to-overseas\">highest cigarette prices<\/a>. Smoking half-a-pack a day costs about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tobaccoinaustralia.org.au\/chapter-13-taxation\/13-3-how-much-do-tobacco-products-cost-in-australia\">A$7,000 to $12,000 per year<\/a> at prices of around $38\u201366 a pack in the legal market. Buying from the illegal market costs about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldcustomsjournal.org\/article\/122749-just-how-profitable-is-illicit-tobacco-in-australia\">$3,500 per year<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Australia also has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aph.gov.au\/About_Parliament\/Parliamentary_departments\/Parliamentary_Library\/Research\/Issues_and_Insights\/2026\/TobaccoControl\">some of the world\u2019s highest tobacco taxes<\/a>, driven by a rapid rise in tobacco excise since 2010.<\/p>\n<p>As cigarette prices have risen, so too has concern about the impact on low-income households. Critics argue tobacco taxes place an unfair burden on people with fewer resources, while contributing to a growing illicit market.<\/p>\n<p>Some \u2013 including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.liberal.org.au\/2026\/09\/03\/the-coalitions-plan-to-kill-the-illicit-tobacco-market-and-smash-the-gangs\">the Coalition<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.onenation.org.au\/illegal-tobacco-crime\">One Nation<\/a> \u2013 have called for tobacco taxes to be slashed by 80% or 75% respectively, while others have argued for them to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2026-08-29\/expensive-cigarettes-excise-black-market-tobacco\/107076242\">be abolished<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Making cigarettes cheaper may seem a logical fix. However, our study suggests it would risk making smoking-related poverty in Australia worse overall.<\/p>\n<h2>When smoking crowds out the essentials<\/h2>\n<p>A lesser known harm of smoking is what researchers call \u201csmoking-induced deprivation\u201d. This is when spending on cigarettes leaves people without enough money for food or other essentials, such as rent or electricity bills.<\/p>\n<p>To examine this issue, we analysed data from 26,888 people who smoked at least monthly in Australia, England, Canada and the United States between 2016 and 2024.<\/p>\n<p>In our new study, published in <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/add.70598\">the journal Addiction<\/a> today, we found the proportion of people who smoke who reported smoking-induced deprivation had increased in all four countries since 2016.<\/p>\n<p>In 2024, almost one in five Australians who currently smoked cigarettes (18.3%) reported experiencing smoking-induced deprivation. This was higher than in England (14.3%), Canada (13.0%) and the United States (10.4%).<\/p>\n<p>In Australia, <a href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/19350816\/\">cigarette prices<\/a> in 2024 were 1.81 times the price they were 2016. Similarly, pack prices rose by a factor of 1.67 in England, 1.38 in Canada and 1.39 in the United States.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<hr \/>\n<p>So our research findings suggest the cost of cigarettes \u2013 including tobacco taxes \u2013 is part of the story behind a rise in smoking-induced deprivation among people who smoke.<\/p>\n<p>But there\u2019s a bigger picture trend, which shows some better news.<\/p>\n<h2>Reducing overall smoking poverty<\/h2>\n<p>In 2016, 15.6% of Australian adults smoked. By 2025, that had almost halved, down to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aihw.gov.au\/reports\/smoking-e-cigarettes\/tobacco-smoking-ndshs\">only 8.2%<\/a> of Australian adults.<\/p>\n<p>The latest figures we have for Canada, England and the US are all from 2024, whereas for Australia we have 2022-2023 and 2025 data. So, to make the countries comparable, we estimated Australia\u2019s 2024 smoking rate as being about 9.4%.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<hr \/>\n<p>The result? <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/add.70598\">Our study found<\/a> the proportion of the total Australian population experiencing smoking-induced deprivation actually decreased. It fell from 1.9% of Australians in 2016 to 1.7% in 2024, and down again to 1.5% in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Fewer people smoking overall means fewer people at risk of smoking-induced deprivation.<\/p>\n<h2>How smoking contributes to poverty<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond the cost of cigarettes, smoking contributes to poverty through its effects on health and income.<\/p>\n<p>Tobacco causes chronic diseases. These <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5271\/sjweh.3848\">increase sick days and cut workplace productivity<\/a>, as well as <a href=\"https:\/\/med.stanford.edu\/news\/all-news\/2016\/04\/smokers-have-harder-time-getting-jobs-study-finds.html\">limiting employment opportunities<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tobaccoinaustralia.org.au\/chapter-17-economics\/17-2-the-costs-of-smoking\">increasing health-care expenses<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>When a family\u2019s primary income earner dies years earlier from smoking-related disease, the financial consequences can be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tobaccoinaustralia.org.au\/chapter-9-disadvantage\/9-5-smoking-and-intergenerational-poverty\">severe and long-lasting<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>These wider economic impacts reinforce social disadvantage and can lead to intergenerational poverty.<\/p>\n<h2>People who want to quit<\/h2>\n<p>One of the most striking findings from our study was that people experiencing smoking-induced deprivation were more likely to try quitting.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aihw.gov.au\/reports\/smoking-e-cigarettes\/tobacco-smoking-ndshs\">2025 National Drug Strategy Household Survey<\/a> shows cost remains one of the top reasons Australians consider quitting smoking.<\/p>\n<p>Yet there is a catch.<\/p>\n<p>People experiencing smoking-induced deprivation were more likely to make quit attempts \u2013 but were less likely to succeed.<\/p>\n<p>Only 9.4% of people in our study who experienced smoking-induced deprivation successfully quit by the next survey wave, compared to 12.6% of those who did not experience this hardship.<\/p>\n<p>People experiencing smoking-induced deprivation tended to be more heavily addicted, and less confident they could quit.<\/p>\n<p>This means one of the best ways to tackle smoking-related poverty is to do more to help those people succeed at quitting.<\/p>\n<h2>Why cutting tobacco taxes would be a mistake<\/h2>\n<p>Some argue reducing tobacco taxes would ease pressure on low-income households.<\/p>\n<p>Lowering taxes could provide temporary financial relief for some consumers. But it would increase health and financial harms overall in the short and long term. It also does not address the root cause of smoking-induced deprivation.<\/p>\n<p>The problem is that lower prices would reduce quitting, increase consumption and increase smoking uptake among youth, particularly those from disadvantaged backgrounds.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/publications.iarc.fr\/Book-And-Report-Series\/Iarc-Handbooks-Of-Cancer-Prevention\/Effectiveness-Of-Tax-And-Price-Policies-For-Tobacco-Control-2011\">Decades of research<\/a> shows higher tobacco prices are among the <a href=\"https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC12444781\/\">most effective<\/a> measures for reducing smoking.<\/p>\n<h2>A better use of tobacco tax revenue<\/h2>\n<p>Our findings point to another way forward. Rather than foregoing the <a href=\"https:\/\/budget.gov.au\/content\/bp1\/download\/bp1_bs-5.pdf\">estimated $3.56 billion from tobacco tax revenue<\/a> in 2026-27 through tax cuts, the Australian government could earmark these funds to reducing smoking and to cover the healthcare costs of smoking.<\/p>\n<p>This could include making all smoking cessation medicines free, expanding behavioural support, controlling illegal tobacco sales and providing dedicated programs for groups that are most harmed by smoking.<\/p>\n<p>Such an approach would directly assist people experiencing financial hardship, while reducing smoking-related disease and pressure on health systems.<\/p>\n<p>High cigarette prices encourage quitting. The challenge is ensuring people who are most addicted to smoking receive the support they need to quit.<\/p>\n<p>For governments concerned about the financial burden of smoking on households, the most effective response is to invest tobacco tax revenue into helping more people quit for good.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: none !important;box-shadow: none !important;margin: 0 !important;max-height: 1px !important;max-width: 1px !important;min-height: 1px !important;min-width: 1px !important;opacity: 0 !important;padding: 0 !important\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/290345\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/coral-gartner-7425\">Coral Gartner<\/a>, Director, NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence on Achieving the Tobacco Endgame and ARC Future Fellow, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/the-university-of-queensland-805\">The University of Queensland<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/ara-cho-1354798\">Ara Cho<\/a>, Research fellow, School of Public Health, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/the-university-of-queensland-805\">The University of Queensland<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-smoking-makes-australians-poorer-and-what-we-can-do-about-it-290345\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--TrendMD v2.4.8--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Australia&#8217;s illicit tobacco market has grown rapidly in recent years, prompting some commentators and political parties to advocate for drastic cuts to tobacco tax. In this article originally published in The Conversation, Professor Coral Gartner and Dr Ara Cho from the University of Queensland lay out what is needed to support people who experience [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn btn-secondary understrap-read-more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/tc\/2026\/09\/29\/how-smoking-makes-australians-poorer-and-what-we-can-do-about-it\/\">Read More&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":511,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1871","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How smoking makes Australians poorer \u2013 and what we can do about\u00a0it - Blog - Tobacco Control<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/tc\/2026\/09\/29\/how-smoking-makes-australians-poorer-and-what-we-can-do-about-it\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How smoking makes Australians poorer \u2013 and what we can do about\u00a0it - Blog - Tobacco Control\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; Australia&#8217;s illicit tobacco market has grown rapidly in recent years, prompting some commentators and political parties to advocate for drastic cuts to tobacco tax. 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