{"id":49646,"date":"2021-02-19T20:02:19","date_gmt":"2021-02-19T19:02:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/?p=49646"},"modified":"2021-02-20T16:33:14","modified_gmt":"2021-02-20T15:33:14","slug":"the-nice-draft-guidelines-for-the-management-of-atrial-fibrillation-need-key-revisions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2021\/02\/19\/the-nice-draft-guidelines-for-the-management-of-atrial-fibrillation-need-key-revisions\/","title":{"rendered":"The NICE draft guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation need key revisions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) draft guidelines for the management of Atrial Fibrillation (AF) contain recommendations at odds with available scientific data and recently updated guidelines from learned societies worldwide. In our view, the draft guidelines severely limit<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">patient choice and access to appropriate treatments. [1,2]<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Good quality rhythm strips, which use modern technology are increasingly available in the home or at work, including hand-held ECG recorders , and can reliably identify AF. [<\/span>3]<span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> NICE\u2019s insistence on a 12-lead ECG to diagnose frequently paroxysmal arrhythmias such as AF is, in our view, unnecessary and imposes avoidable delays that miss opportunities for timely diagnosis and treatments.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Patients with AF have higher risk of stroke, often with greater severity and functional impairment. [<\/span>4,5] <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Oral anticoagulants (OACs) provide effective prevention, but confer increased risk of major bleeding. NICE is unexpectedly recommending switching from the widely used HAS-BLED score<\/span><b>\u00a0<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">to the ORBIT (Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation) score, and say in these draft guidelines that ORBIT is the \u201c<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">most accurate tool to predict the risk of major bleeding<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201d based on calibration. [1] Implementing ORBIT will likely cause confusion as UK healthcare professionals principally use HAS-BLED. Furthermore, HAS-BLED is supported by evidence and prospective trial data<\/span>\u00a0<span style=\"font-weight: 400\">and widely validated across all AF patients (whether anticoagulated or not), whereas ORBIT lacks similar robust data and is tested only in selected cohorts already on OACs.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> [6,7]<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0We urge NICE to retain the HAS-BLED score to predict bleeding risk, but agree that bleeding risk scoring systems should not be used to withhold anticoagulation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Our greatest concerns about these draft guidelines surround NICE now advocating just two approved &#8220;Direct&#8221; OACs (DOACs) instead of four.\u00a0 This impacts all patients with \u22651 stroke risk factor, removing access to once daily medication, withdrawing patient choice, limiting patients\u2019 options for tailored OAC therapy, and effectively rendering two DOACs (edoxaban and rivaroxaban) ineligible for AF. NICE\u2019s draft recommends switching once-daily DOACs or warfarin to twice-daily therapies, even for patients who are stable with their treatment. This introduces unnecessary risks without proven advantages.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">By claiming material differences between DOACs, NICE misrepresents publications showing absence of head-to-head data,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> similarities among DOACs,<\/span><b>\u00a0<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">heterogeneity between DOAC studies affecting outcomes and adverse reactions, and meta-analyses where outcomes in the comparator \u201cwarfarin-treated\u201d arms differ substantially. [8-18]<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Indirect comparisons of heterogeneous studies should not be over-interpreted or used to generate unjustified therapeutic recommendations in national guidelines. [<\/span>19-22]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Long term preventative treatments, like stroke prevention, involve asymptomatic patients who may not immediately recognise the benefits of prolonged therapy. Poor adherence to medications accounts for ~50% of the shortfall in realising therapeutic goals,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> while medicating once daily has superior adherence,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> decreases non-adherence for chronic cardiovascular diseases,<\/span><b>\u00a0<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">is preferred by &gt; 80% patients,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and polypharmacy associates with higher risk of stroke and mortality.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">We urge NICE to retain equivalent recommendations for all DOACs and not remove patient options and choice. [23-33]<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Catheter ablation is increasingly utilised to treat AF. Cryoballoon and radiofrequency are most commonly used, accounting for &gt;500,000 ablations worldwide and &gt;92% UK cases annually. Both appear equally effective in large, direct-comparison trials,<\/span><b> <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">with possibly fewer adverse events with cryoballoon. [34-36]<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Cryoballoon involves significantly shorter procedure times, fewer repeat procedures<\/span><b>\u00a0<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">and seems more cost-effective. [37,38] <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The safety, ease of use, and wide applicability of cryoballoon manifests superiority to drugs, even as first-line therapy. [<\/span>39,40]<span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> By not requiring specialised equipment, cryoablation provides deliverability in district hospitals. [<\/span>41]<span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> It is astonishing that NICE is downgrading cryoballoon, and instead recommending laser-balloon, which accounts for &lt;0.02% of UK ablations. [<\/span>42]<span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Changing practice wholesale to laser-balloon poses enormous challenges for implementation, including requiring physician-retraining and use of unfamiliar technology presenting significant safety implications. Meanwhile, European guidelines rightly observe, \u201cthe choice of energy source should depend on centre availability, operator preference\/experience, and patient preference.\u201d [<\/span>1]<span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Most ablations are performed under conscious sedation, yet NICE recommends general anaesthesia. This offers no major advantages, introduces resource challenges, impacts on turnaround times, and poses additional procedural risks and needless strain on sustainability of many UK centres. [<\/span>43,44]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Patient-clinician partnerships empower patient choice and individualised care, and we welcome NICE\u2019s recommendation of personalised packages of care and information. However, NICE provides no direction on how, or where, patients access appropriate information and help. We propose NICE signposts patients to organisations such as the AF Association, Arrhythmia Alliance, British Heart Foundation, Anticoagulation Europe and the Stroke Association.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">We urge the NICE guideline committee to preserve patient choice, access, and shared decision making. We also urge them to revisit the available evidence and reappraise their decisions regarding diagnosis of AF, choice of bleeding risk score, continued availability of all four DOACs to permit tailoring of OAC based on individual patients\u2019 risk profile and preferences, and maintaining support for cryoballoon catheter ablation, to ensure evidence-based clinical practice recommendations to deliver optimal patient care. The NICE guidelines miss the opportunity to support ongoing efforts for a structured management pathway to provide holistic, integrated care that has been proven in numerous studies to reduce adverse clinical outcomes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Raj Mattu<\/strong>, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">consultant cardiologist, Kettering General Hospital, Kettering &amp; University College London, London, United Kingdom.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Dhiraj Gupta<\/strong>, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">consultant cardiologist, Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool and Liverpool Heart &amp; Chest Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Deirdre A Lane<\/strong>, reader in Cardiovascular Health,\u00a0Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool and Liverpool Heart &amp; Chest Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Gregory Y H Lip<\/strong>, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">professor of Cardiovascular Medicine, Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool and Liverpool Heart &amp; Chest Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Trudie Lobban<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: small\">,\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Patient Representative,\u00a0Founder &amp; CEO &#8211; Arrhythmia Alliance &amp; AF Association, United Kingdom<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Muzahir H Tayebjee<\/strong>, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">consultant cardiologist, West Yorkshire Arrhythmia Service, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, United Kingdom<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>A John Camm<\/strong>, p<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">rofessor of clinical cardiology, Cardiac Clinical Academic Group, St. George\u2019s University of London, London, United Kingdom.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Not commissioned, Peer reviewed<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Competing interests:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>RM:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Nil<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>DG<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">: has received institutional research grants from Boston Scientific, Medtronic and Biosense Webster, and personal advisory fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Boston Scientific and Abbott<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>DAL:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> has received an investigator-initiated educational grant from Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS); has been a speaker for Boehringer Ingelheim and BMS\/Pfizer; and has consulted for BMS, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Daiichi-Sankyo<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>GYHL:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Consultant for Bayer\/Janssen, BMS\/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Verseon and Daiichi-Sankyo.\u00a0\u00a0Speaker for BMS\/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Daiichi-Sankyo.\u00a0 No fees are directly received personally.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>TL: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nil<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>MHT:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> has received research and educational grants from Medtronic, Biosense Webster and Abbott.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>AJC:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> has received institutional grants from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi Sankyo, Pfizer\/BMS and personal advisory fees from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi Sankyo, Pfizer\/BMS, Abbott, Boston Scientific and Medtronic<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>References:<\/b><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\">\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hindricks G et al, EurHeart J 2020;0:1-125\u00a0 doi.org\/10.1093\/eurheartj\/ehaa612<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Lip GYH et al, CHEST 2018;154(5):1121-1201 doi: 10.1016\/j.chest.2018.07.040<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bansal A et al, Journal of Arrhythmia. 2018;34:129\u2013138) doi 10.1002\/joa3.12035<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Andrew N et al, Neuroepidemiology:2013;40:227\u2013239 DOI:\u00a0<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1159\/000343667\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">10.1159\/000343667<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ali A et al, J Atr Fibrillation:2016; 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400\">doi\/abs\/10.1185\/03007995.2012.677419<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Caldeira D, et al, Rev Port Cardiol. 2014;33(7-8):431-437 DOI: 10.1016\/j.repce.2014.01.014<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Srivastava K et al, Patient Preference and Adherence 2013:7 419\u2013434 <\/span><\/i><a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.2147\/PPA.S44646\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">dx.doi.org\/10.2147\/PPA.S44646<\/span><\/i><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Mentias A et al, Stroke. 2020; 51:2076\u20132086 doi: 10.1161\/STROKEAHA.120.029541<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Lobban T et al, Arrhythmia Alliance Survey 2020; Data on File\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Kuck KH 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Assoc. 2017;6:e006043 DOI: 10.1161\/JAHA.117.006043\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Wazni O et al, N Engl J Med 2020; DOI: 10.1056\/NEJMoa2029554\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Andrade J et al, N Engl J Med 2020; DOI: 10.1056\/NEJMoa2029980<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Opel A et al, Europace 2019;21:440-444 <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/europace\/euy153\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">doi.org\/10.1093\/europace\/euy15<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bhrs.com\/audit\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">www.bhrs.com\/audit<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bartoletti S et al, PACE 2019;42:1448-1455 \u00a0doi: 10.1111\/pace.13807\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Creta et al, JCE 2020; doi: 10.1111\/jce.14789\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) draft guidelines for the management of Atrial Fibrillation (AF) contain recommendations at odds with available scientific data and recently updated guidelines [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn btn-secondary understrap-read-more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2021\/02\/19\/the-nice-draft-guidelines-for-the-management-of-atrial-fibrillation-need-key-revisions\/\">More&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":49647,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[223],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49646","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-guest-bloggers"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The NICE draft guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation need key revisions - The BMJ<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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