{"id":47557,"date":"2020-05-20T08:59:28","date_gmt":"2020-05-20T07:59:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/?p=47557"},"modified":"2020-05-22T19:50:58","modified_gmt":"2020-05-22T18:50:58","slug":"deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/","title":{"rendered":"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"standfirst\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The public health impact of choices made now will have implications long after the immediate crisis is over<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Public health has been defined an <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.com.my\/books\/about\/The_New_Public_Health.html?id=T2yQwTxRRfcC&amp;printsec=frontcover&amp;source=kp_read_button&amp;redir_esc=y#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cintegrative approach to protecting and promoting the health status of both individuals and society<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.\u201d\u00a0 Made up of different disciplines including epidemiology, environmental and population health, biostatistics and socio-medical sciences and using a range of research and analytical tools, the public health approach has evolved beyond addressing a single health outcome or disease. In this way it takes into account information about specific populations, the health systems with which they interact, and the social and environmental factors that promote health and prevent disease.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Across the world, the driver of the approach taken in the response to covid-19 has been to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/media\/imperial-college\/medicine\/sph\/ide\/gida-fellowships\/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cflatten the curve\u201d\u2014<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">the strategy is to slow down the spread of the virus to enable health systems to cope better with the high-end intensive care capacity required by severe cases. Countries have therefore implemented a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bsg.ox.ac.uk\/research\/research-projects\/coronavirus-government-response-tracker\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">range of lockdown measures<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> aimed at spatial and physical distancing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">While this strategy is proving effective in reducing the spread of covid-19<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, these measures have also resulted in compromises to a range of other health services, including care for those who may require it for <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nejm.org\/doi\/pdf\/10.1056\/NEJMms2009984?articleTools=true\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">other conditions<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Visits for routine preventive care have <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bmj.com\/content\/369\/bmj.m1607\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">decreased drastically<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Further, there is increasing evidence of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/nchs\/nvss\/vsrr\/covid19\/excess_deaths.htm\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">excess deaths<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, meaning people dying of heart attack or stroke because they didn\u2019t access care early enough or at all. There are also reports of increasing <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1111\/jocn.15296\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">family violence<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(20)30460-8\/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">stress<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lanchi\/article\/PIIS2352-4642(20)30109-7\/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">mental health problems<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> including for children and youth, now coined \u201cgeneration C\u201d for the lifelong impact this pandemic will confer upon them.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In addition to the direct effects, lockdown measures have also compromised a range of social determinants of health, including\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lanpub\/article\/PIIS2468-2667(20)30084-0\/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">educational attainment<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.fao.org\/2019-ncov\/analysis\/en\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">food security<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/pubdocs.worldbank.org\/en\/980491587133615932\/Poverty-and-distributional-impacts-of-COVID-19-and-policy-options.pdf\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">employment and income<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> which <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/article\/20200420-coronavirus-why-some-racial-groups-are-more-vulnerable\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">disproportionately<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> affect those families and populations who are already vulnerable, and further exacerbating health inequities and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/32378762\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">discrimination <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">within and across countries.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Given that many people have underlying conditions associated with both poverty and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nejm.org\/doi\/full\/10.1056\/NEJMc2010419\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">covid-19<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, including <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC3198075\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">obesity<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, heart disease, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC4021012\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">diabetes,<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and hypertension, the lockdown may have resulted in putting asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic people shedding the virus in close <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/research\/coronavirus\/publication\/32283139\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">household contact<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> with people at risk.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The public health impact of choices made now will have implications long after the immediate crisis is over. After decades of work to reduce maternal and child deaths, including through <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/368\/6487\/116\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">vaccination programme<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">s, the negative impact of placing these services on hold, particularly in countries with high fertility, a large under-5 population and high rates of infectious diseases, is already having <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/368\/6487\/116\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">serious consequence<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Recognizing that many of the current mitigation strategies are based on <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wwwnc.cdc.gov\/eid\/article\/26\/5\/19-0995_article\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">limited evidence<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, we must put in place a global learning agenda so that mistakes are not repeated and secondary population health effects are not overlooked.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">It is not too late to re-introduce many of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/publichealthgateway\/publichealthservices\/essentialhealthservices.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">essential services of public health<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and the principals of population health into the covid-19 response. To do this, hospitals and public health authorities must collect, collate, and share disaggregated clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic data so that public health professionals can better decode both the clinical risks and understand the risks for various population groups. This will also allow for a response which takes into account social determinants, including population density, mobility, poverty and inequalities when assessing health outcomes.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www1.nyc.gov\/site\/doh\/covid\/covid-19-data.page\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Summary tables<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> are not enough to drive evidence-based decision making or <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/four-steps-to-precision-public-health-1.21089\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">precision public health<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> which is required to target efforts to those most at risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/16306066\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Context matters<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and different contexts require different interventions. Lessons from other public health emergencies of international concern, including from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/heapro\/article-abstract\/34\/3\/510\/4908483?redirectedFrom=fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ebola<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(20)31054-0\/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">HIV,<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> provide us with a blueprint on <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">types of strategies<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> and approaches for <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(19)32532-2\/fulltext\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">community engagement<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that can address the immediate health issue while also reducing stigma, discrimination and fear. Unfortunately, these lessons on community partnerships have largely <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(20)31089-8\/abstract\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">been absent in the covid-19 response<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. They could have and still can help improve the design of prevention measures such that communities themselves have agency and voice in deciding how best to protect themselves.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">When we are past the immediate crisis, the community and countries themselves must convene independent expert panels, that include a range of voices and actors, to review decisions taken. In the meantime, we must urgently shift our approach and begin learning, evaluating and adapting our strategies in real-time.\u00a0 If not, deaths from covid-19 will be the \u201ctip of the iceberg\u201d of the public health problems created by a single disease-focused response. The hard-won public health gains, as well as the potential to achieve Sustainable Development Goals in health and other areas, will be lost for our generation and generations to come.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Nina Schwalbe<\/strong> is a Principal Visiting Fellow at the United Nations University International Institute of Global Health and on the Faculty at Heilbrunn Department Columbia of Population and Family Health at Columbia University\u2019s Mailman School of Public Health.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Siobhan Crowley<\/strong> is the Chief Strategy Officer at the Penta Foundation.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Susanna Lehtimaki<\/strong> is a Senior Advisor at Spark Street Advisors.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Pascale Allotey<\/strong> is the Director of the United Nations University International Institute for Global Health<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Competing interests<\/strong>: None declared<\/em><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The authors would like to thank Anna-Carin Matterson, Nathanial Hupert, and Katherine Holland for the contribution to this piece.<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The public health impact of choices made now will have implications long after the immediate crisis is over [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn btn-secondary understrap-read-more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/\">More&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":47444,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[263],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47557","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global-health"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg - The BMJ<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg - The BMJ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The public health impact of choices made now will have implications long after the immediate crisis is over [...]More...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The BMJ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bmjdotcom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-05-20T07:59:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-05-22T18:50:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/05\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"540\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"350\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"BMJ\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@bmj_latest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@bmj_latest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"BMJ\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"BMJ\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ba3da426ed20e8f1d933ca367d8216fe\"},\"headline\":\"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-05-20T07:59:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-05-22T18:50:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":877,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/files\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Global health\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/\",\"name\":\"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg - The BMJ\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/files\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-05-20T07:59:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-05-22T18:50:58+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/files\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/files\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg\",\"width\":540,\"height\":350,\"caption\":\"A couple walks as a woman is pushed on a wheelchair during the hours in which the elderly are allowed to walk outdoors, for the first time since the lockdown was announced, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Barcelona, Spain, May 2, 2020. REUTERS\\\/Nacho Doce\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/2020\\\/05\\\/20\\\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/\",\"name\":\"The BMJ\",\"description\":\"Helping doctors make better decisions.\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The BMJ\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/files\\\/2018\\\/05\\\/The-BMJ-logo.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/files\\\/2018\\\/05\\\/The-BMJ-logo.jpg\",\"width\":852,\"height\":568,\"caption\":\"The BMJ\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/bmjdotcom\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/bmj_latest\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ba3da426ed20e8f1d933ca367d8216fe\",\"name\":\"BMJ\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/b4d8f39281bcae118348a1c027347b8e53b82d42520e774a8b50dd9a6ac6c01d?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/b4d8f39281bcae118348a1c027347b8e53b82d42520e774a8b50dd9a6ac6c01d?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/b4d8f39281bcae118348a1c027347b8e53b82d42520e774a8b50dd9a6ac6c01d?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"BMJ\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.bmj.com\\\/bmj\\\/author\\\/admin\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg - The BMJ","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg - The BMJ","og_description":"The public health impact of choices made now will have implications long after the immediate crisis is over [...]More...","og_url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/","og_site_name":"The BMJ","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bmjdotcom\/","article_published_time":"2020-05-20T07:59:28+00:00","article_modified_time":"2020-05-22T18:50:58+00:00","og_image":[{"width":540,"height":350,"url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/05\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"BMJ","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@bmj_latest","twitter_site":"@bmj_latest","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"BMJ","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/"},"author":{"name":"BMJ","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#\/schema\/person\/ba3da426ed20e8f1d933ca367d8216fe"},"headline":"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg","datePublished":"2020-05-20T07:59:28+00:00","dateModified":"2020-05-22T18:50:58+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/"},"wordCount":877,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/05\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg","articleSection":["Global health"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/","url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/","name":"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg - The BMJ","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/05\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg","datePublished":"2020-05-20T07:59:28+00:00","dateModified":"2020-05-22T18:50:58+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/05\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/05\/coronavirus_person_wheelchair.jpg","width":540,"height":350,"caption":"A couple walks as a woman is pushed on a wheelchair during the hours in which the elderly are allowed to walk outdoors, for the first time since the lockdown was announced, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Barcelona, Spain, May 2, 2020. REUTERS\/Nacho Doce"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/05\/20\/deaths-from-covid-19-could-be-the-tip-of-the-iceberg\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Deaths from covid-19 could be the tip of the iceberg"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#website","url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/","name":"The BMJ","description":"Helping doctors make better decisions.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#organization","name":"The BMJ","url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2018\/05\/The-BMJ-logo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2018\/05\/The-BMJ-logo.jpg","width":852,"height":568,"caption":"The BMJ"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/bmjdotcom\/","https:\/\/x.com\/bmj_latest"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/#\/schema\/person\/ba3da426ed20e8f1d933ca367d8216fe","name":"BMJ","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b4d8f39281bcae118348a1c027347b8e53b82d42520e774a8b50dd9a6ac6c01d?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b4d8f39281bcae118348a1c027347b8e53b82d42520e774a8b50dd9a6ac6c01d?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b4d8f39281bcae118348a1c027347b8e53b82d42520e774a8b50dd9a6ac6c01d?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"BMJ"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/"],"url":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/author\/admin\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47557","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47557"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47557\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47557"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47557"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47557"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}