{"id":47113,"date":"2020-04-06T19:22:35","date_gmt":"2020-04-06T18:22:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/?p=47113"},"modified":"2020-04-09T18:45:56","modified_gmt":"2020-04-09T17:45:56","slug":"richard-lehmans-covid-19-reviews-6-april-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/04\/06\/richard-lehmans-covid-19-reviews-6-april-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Richard Lehman&#8217;s covid-19 reviews\u20146 April 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"standfirst\">In this weekly round-up, Richard Lehman looks at a personal selection of articles of relevance to clinicians dealing with covid-19<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/04\/Florence_Nightingale.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-47116\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/04\/Florence_Nightingale.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"200\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/04\/Florence_Nightingale.jpg 200w, https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2020\/04\/Florence_Nightingale-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a>Nightingale hospitals<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Florence Nightingale disliked hospitals. They created bad conditions for the sick: \u201c<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Apprehension, uncertainty, waiting, expectation, fear of surprise, do a patient more harm than any exertion. Remember he is face to face with his enemy all the time.<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201d<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">She regarded hospitals as \u201can intermediate form of life\u201d, a poor substitute for home nursing. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.florence-nightingale.co.uk\/scutari-hospital\/\">After her work at Scutari hospital<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, she had a chronic illness, possibly brucellosis, and stayed at home for 40 years, mostly spent designing better hospitals. Her self-isolation wasn\u2019t like ours: she was fed with a constant supply of viceroys, flowers, geese, architects, statisticians, fresh cheese, generals and Prime Ministers. When Nightingale did a thing, she did it thoroughly, and social distancing was no exception. PM Gladstone once turned up on urgent business, but was turned away because he did not have an appointment. She regularly refused to see members of the royal family as they would waste her time. How good it would be to have her thoughts about the new hospitals that bear her name. Over the door of each should be written: \u201c<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">For the sick it is important to have the best<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201d FN.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Relieving covid-19<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">If you knew how unreasonably sick people suffer from reasonable causes of distress, you would take more pains about all these things.<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> FN<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Between the asymptomatic cases and those in intensive care, there are hundreds of thousands suffering with covid-19. They have a constant painful cough, which prevents sleep. They cannot breathe properly and are intensely anxious. They lie totally exhausted, with myalgia and fever. Many are cut off from human comfort. You rarely read about these things in the academic literature which spills out by the ton every day. There is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nice.org.uk\/guidance\/NG163\">some NICE guidance <\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">giving gener<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">alised advice: but is there a forum of GP tips for covid-19 symptom relief that has escaped my notice?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>End-of-life care at home<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Let whoever is in charge keep this simple question in her head (not, how can I always do this right thing myself, but) <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/everydaypower.com\/quotes-by-martin-luther-king-jr\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">how can I provide for this right thing to be always done<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">?\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">FN<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">How can we arrange for the right thing to be always done for people with covid-19 dying at home? A retired GP schoolfriend, Lyn Jenkins, posed this question two weeks ago and I have been unable to think of much else since. It could happen to me. Worse, it could happen to my wife. But that is not the point: it is happening, and will happen over the next few weeks, to many thousands of people. And the first part of the Nightingale quotation points to a gap: \u201c<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Let whoever is in charge\u2026<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201d \u2013 could she or he please step forward?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">When people with severe covid-19 decline to go to hospital, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bma.org.uk\/media\/2226\/bma-covid-19-ethics-guidance.pdf\">or are refused ICU on \u201crobust\u201d ethical grounds<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, what promise of care and comfort is to be made to them, and who will deliver it? I fear that instead of the central ethical overseer that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nejm.org\/doi\/full\/10.1056\/NEJMsb2005114\">Emanuel and others suggest for the USA <\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">there will be a variety of people deciding on the rules of admission to hospitals in different localities in the UK, and a variety of overstretched primary care services to pick up the pieces. Everyone will be distressed and exhausted. <a href=\"https:\/\/apmonline.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/COVID-19-and-Palliative-End-of-Life-and-Bereavement-Care-22-March-2020.pdf\">Palliative care physicians are producing excellent guidance<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goodlifedeathgrief.org.uk\/content\/support_with_covid19\/\">They and GPs are producing excellent consultation aids<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Many localities are rushing to set up home services. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But who is there to provide for these right things to be always done?\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><b>Masked balls<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">I could pretend to be referring to <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Un ballo in Maschera <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">(1859) by Guiseppe Verdi, but I am actually referring to the official \u201cwisdom\u201d that has prevailed in England about wearing masks during the covid-19 pandemic. Official advice opined a while ago that they were unhelpful in reducing spread, and that people who bought them would be depriving front-line NHS staff of these scarce appurtenances. But when someone close to me went for immunotherapy at a cancer unit last week, nobody was wearing a mask. She even brought some with her to share around, but when told it \u201cwasn\u2019t policy yet\u201d she felt it would be impolite to wear one herself. So, wearing a covering over your mouth to prevent you spraying viruses on other extremely high risk people wasn\u2019t policy (though it is now), and as a public health measure it\u2019s supposed to lack proof. A rapid review by some of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.03.30.20047217v1\">mighty ones of EBM confirms that there is no RCT evidence<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">: and long may there be none. It would be an absurd question to try and answer with an RCT.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Covid co-infection<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Perhaps in retaliation for these reviews, the GMC has restored my licence to practise medicine. Even before that, I spent a lot of my would-be sleeping time thinking of how GPs could function during an epidemic of serious respiratory disease, when they can\u2019t even examine the patient. Most of the pneumonia is likely to be viral, either due to SARS-CoV-2 or a combination, mostly with influenza viruses, <a href=\"http:\/\/med.stanford.edu\/news\/all-news\/2020\/03\/covid-19-can-coexist-with-other-respiratory-viruses.html\">present in about a fifth of patients<\/a>. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But what about bacteria? Ordinary or atypical bacterial pneumonia will still occur sporadically, independent of covid-19, and it seems incredible that bacteria won\u2019t take advantage of lungs congested with covid-19: yet it is very hard to find anything in the literature about bacterial co-infection. Meanwhile, from a safe distance, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nice.org.uk\/guidance\/ng165\/resources\/covid19-rapid-guideline-managing-suspected-or-confirmed-pneumonia-in-adults-in-the-community-pdf-66141902429125\">NICE <\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">advises the avoidance of antibiotics except in \u201csevere\u201d pneumonia or if the patient is at special risk. The usual arguments about antibiotic stewardship appear. But it\u2019s a poor steward who keeps the armoury locked when the enemy stands ringed around the moat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Students at the front<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In many British medical schools, over half of the clinical students have volunteered for some kind of front-line hospital role in the care of covid-19 patients. For many, it will be an experience they remember for the rest of their lives. It was similar for some students in 1945, such as a group at St Thomas\u2019s (as it was spelt in those days) in Godalming (as it was located in those days), who were due to be flown to Holland to treat victims of the Nazi starvation policy. In fact they ended up in Bergen-Belsen, watching hundreds of inmates die in the days and weeks after the liberation of the camp. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bmj.com\/content\/bmj\/283\/6307\/1656.full.pdf\">Alex Paton kept a diary of this experience<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">,<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">but when I knew him as a friend 50 years later, he scorned the idea that it had scarred him for life. He was born energetic, life-loving, and resilient. Not all of us are so lucky, and I do wonder what support we should put in place for students who risk lasting trauma from their voluntary service.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Hearsay-based medicine<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In time of war, rumours fly. Don\u2019t get too worried about them ventilators, mate, they\u2019re going over to CPAP any day now. We\u2019ll know more this week from Italy. No pal, it\u2019s not Italy, it\u2019s Spain and it won\u2019t be through till next week. Someone (I think Bishal Gayawali) has named this covid-related phenomenon \u201chearsay-based medicine\u201d, or HBM. There is another kind of HBM that deals in bold assertions such as \u201cHealth staff are particularly likely to die from covid-19 due to viral load\u201d. Everybody nods solemnly, while their thoughts turn anxiously to personal snot exposure. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cebm.net\/covid-19\/sars-cov-2-viral-load-and-the-severity-of-covid-19\/\">But the Oxford covid-19 Evidence Service Team<\/a> cannot find any support for this concept in relation to coronaviruses. \u201c<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">If readers are confused by the mass of contradictory information, so are we. What can be desumed by this post is that no one really knows what is going on\u2026\u201d Desumed. Oxford, how I love you.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Keep leukin for covid treatments<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">We know structure of the causative agent of covid-19 down to the last squiggle, but we don\u2019t know why it invades many people without causing the least symptom, while it is so lethal for an unlucky few. In these it triggers an agonal cascade of inflammatory events involving interleukin 6, amongst other bad molecules. Now there happen to be lots of IL-6 experts sitting at home and lots of interleukin-6 blocking agents sitting expensively on pharmacy shelves. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.04.01.20047381v1\">Time for the experts to write papers about IL-6 and covid<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">and time too for these drugs to leave the shelves in trials for people with life-threatening illness. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.04.01.20048561v1\">There are already preliminary reports on agents like siltuximab <\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> or\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.03.30.20048058v1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">tocilizumab<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. We\u2019ll keep leukin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Perilous ferrets<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the Yorkshire of my youth, ferrets were widely kept as part of the food chain. It\u2019s not that ferret-based delicacies often appeared on the menu, rather that these lithe rodents were used to drive rabbits from their burrows into coal sacks, and thence to the ovens of the hungry classes. Two world wars (with food rationing) had led to much ferret-keeping, and to a special class of ferret jokes involving trousers. The importance of tying string round the trouser ankles was taught to many an ashen-faced son of the dales. But today ferrets pose a new peril: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biorxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.03.30.015347v1\">they can transmit SARS-coronavirus-2<\/a>. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Avoid stroking strange ferrets. And lads, always remember the string, if you ever want to become a father.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Silver lining<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Covid-19 is teaching us that the sort of collaborations which normally require years of build-up and industry funding can be set up in days with the right amount of drive, common purpose and public funding. We\u2019re learning to place the adjective \u201cnimble\u201d in places we would never previously have dreamt of: before the initials NIHR, for example. The suite of covid-19 interventional trials now being organised through it is a model for the world: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.recoverytrial.net\/\">RECOVERY<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nihr.ac.uk\/urgent-public-health-research-studies-for-covid-19\/platform-randomised-trial-of-interventions-against-covid-19-in-older-people-principle\/24579\">PRINCIPLE <\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nihr.ac.uk\/urgent-public-health-research-studies-for-covid-19\/remap-cap-a-platform-trial-for-severely-ill-patients-with-covid-19\/24578\">REMAP-CAP<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As these trials come online, they will teach us a lot about tipping points, when the evidence matures from a presumption of nil effect to a presumption of benefit or harm, and clinical practice needs to change accordingly. <a href=\"https:\/\/covid-evidence.org\/\">And all this will be supported by new models of real-time evidence synthesis such as covid-evidence<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Will the slow model of academic-industrial knowledge production ever recover? I hope not.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2018\/07\/richard_lehman2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-42626\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/files\/2018\/07\/richard_lehman2-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Richard Lehman<\/strong> is professor of the Shared Understanding of Medicine at the University of Birmingham.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Competing interests<\/strong>: None declared<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Articles from MedRxiv get special prominence in these reviews. MedRxiv is a completely free site for the rapid exchange of knowledge which was launched last year as a joint initiative by <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The BMJ<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory and the Yale University Open Data Access project. All MedRxiv articles carry the caveat: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/what-unrefereed-preprint\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This article is a preprint and has not been certified by peer review. It reports new medical research that has yet to be evaluated and so should <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">not<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> be used to guide clinical practice.<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> This review is intended as a quick source of information in a readable form. While every effort has been made to be accurate, the opinions are those of the author and should not be relied on without reading the full articles cited in the context of current NHS guidance.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this weekly round-up, Richard Lehman looks at a personal selection of articles of relevance to clinicians dealing with covid-19 [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn btn-secondary understrap-read-more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.bmj.com\/bmj\/2020\/04\/06\/richard-lehmans-covid-19-reviews-6-april-2020\/\">More&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46950,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-richard-lehmans-weekly-review-of-medical-journals"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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